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Earth & Climate

The Hidden Threat to Tropical Forests: How Thunderstorms Are Causing Trees to Die

Tropical trees are dying faster than ever, and it’s not just heat or drought to blame. Scientists have uncovered a surprising culprit: ordinary thunderstorms. These quick, fierce storms, powered by climate change, are toppling trees with intense winds and lightning, sometimes causing more damage than drought itself. The discovery is reshaping how we understand rainforest health and carbon storage, as storms may be responsible for up to 60% of tree deaths in some regions. Researchers now warn that failing to account for this hidden force could undermine forest conservation and climate models alike.

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The tropical forests that cover vast swaths of our planet are facing an unprecedented threat: thunderstorms. These powerful convective storms have long been overlooked as a significant driver of tree mortality in these ecosystems, but new research suggests that they may be responsible for up to 60% of tree deaths in some regions. Led by Evan Gora, a forest ecologist at the Cary Institute of Ecosystem Studies, a team of scientists has reanalyzed data from previous studies on tropical forest carbon stocks and found that storms are at least as good as drought and temperature in explaining patterns of tree mortality and forest carbon storage.

“We were surprised to find that storms may be the largest single factor causing tree death in these forests,” said Gora. “They’re largely overlooked by research into carbon storage in the tropics, and our estimates suggest that they’re responsible for 30 to 60% of tree mortality in the past.”

These findings have significant implications for forest management practices and long-term conservation efforts. If scientists continue to make decisions about which species to plant or conserve based on an incorrect understanding of what’s actually killing these trees and which species are most vulnerable, those forests won’t reach their full potential.

The researchers note that storms and droughts can be mutually exclusive – the same forests can experience both high storm activity and drought stress. They found high convective storm activity across the southern Amazon, where water stress is also high and patterns of change are among the most extreme.

To overcome the challenges in detecting storms and tracking their highly localized damage, the researchers used a combination of a lightning location system, drone scouts, and on-the-ground experts to sample large areas of tropical forest frequently. With these tools, they were starting to quantify when, where, and why tropical trees are dying, and which species are most affected.

Understanding current and future threats to tropical forests is crucial to informing long-term conservation and restoration efforts. If we make decisions about which species to plant or conserve based on an incorrect understanding of what’s actually killing these trees and which species are most vulnerable, those forests won’t reach their full potential.

Atmosphere

NASA’s SWOT Satellite Captures Kamchatka Megaquake Tsunami in Stunning Detail

When a massive 8.8 magnitude earthquake struck off Russia’s Kamchatka Peninsula, NASA and CNES’s SWOT satellite captured a rare and detailed picture of the tsunami that followed. Recorded just over an hour after the quake, the satellite revealed the wave’s height, shape, and path, offering scientists an unprecedented multidimensional view from space.

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The recent megaquake that struck off the coast of Russia’s Kamchatka Peninsula has been captured in striking detail by NASA’s SWOT satellite. Launched jointly with the French space agency CNES, the SWOT satellite is equipped with a unique radar system that can measure ocean topography and water levels across vast areas.

On July 30, at around 11:25 a.m. local time, an 8.8 magnitude earthquake struck off the coast of Kamchatka, generating a massive tsunami wave. The SWOT satellite captured the leading edge of this tsunami just 70 minutes after the quake hit. This remarkable footage has provided scientists with crucial data to improve tsunami forecast models.

The data collected by the SWOT satellite included measurements of the wave height exceeding 1.5 feet (45 centimeters), as well as a detailed look at the shape and direction of travel of the leading edge of the tsunami. These observations have been plotted against a forecast model produced by the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Center for Tsunami Research.

Comparing these observations to the model helps forecasters validate their predictions, ensuring that they can provide accurate early warnings to coastal communities in the event of a tsunami. As Nadya Vinogradova Shiffer, NASA Earth lead and SWOT program scientist at NASA Headquarters, explained, “The power of SWOT’s broad, paintbrush-like strokes over the ocean is in providing crucial real-world validation, unlocking new physics, and marking a leap towards more accurate early warnings and safer futures.”

Ben Hamlington, an oceanographer at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, highlighted the significance of the 1.5-foot-tall wave captured by SWOT, saying that what might seem like a small wave in open waters can become a massive 30-foot wave in shallower coastal areas.

The data collected by the SWOT satellite has already helped scientists improve their tsunami forecast models at NOAA’s Center for Tsunami Research. This is a crucial step towards enhancing operational tsunami forecasts and saving lives. As Josh Willis, a JPL oceanographer, noted, “The satellite observations help researchers to better reverse engineer the cause of a tsunami, and in this case, they also showed us that NOAA’s tsunami forecast was right on the money.”

This breakthrough has significant implications for coastal communities around the world. By providing more accurate early warnings, SWOT data can save lives and reduce damage caused by tsunamis. As Vasily Titov, the center’s chief scientist in Seattle, emphasized, “It suggests SWOT data could significantly enhance operational tsunami forecasts — a capability sought since the 2004 Sumatra event.” The devastating tsunami generated by that quake killed thousands of people and caused widespread destruction in Indonesia.

The SWOT satellite was jointly developed by NASA and CNES, with contributions from the Canadian Space Agency (CSA) and the UK Space Agency. NASA JPL leads the U.S. component of the project, providing a Ka-band radar interferometer instrument, a GPS science receiver, a laser retroreflector, a two-beam microwave radiometer, and NASA instrument operations.

This groundbreaking technology has opened up new possibilities for scientists to better understand ocean dynamics and improve tsunami forecasting models. As SWOT continues to capture stunning images of our oceans, it will undoubtedly play a vital role in enhancing operational tsunami forecasts and saving lives around the world.

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Climate

The Ocean’s Fragile Fortresses: Uncovering the Impact of Climate Change on Bryozoans

Mediterranean bryozoans, including the “false coral,” are showing alarming changes in structure and microbiomes under acidification and warming. Field studies at volcanic CO₂ vents reveal that these stressors combined sharply reduce survival, posing risks to marine ecosystems.

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The Ocean’s Fragile Fortresses: Uncovering the Impact of Climate Change on Bryozoans

Bryozoans, small colonial invertebrates, play a vital role in forming marine habitats. However, their response to environmental changes has long been overlooked. A recent study published in Communications Biology sheds light on how ocean acidification and warming can affect bryozoan colonies, with crucial implications for marine conservation.

The researchers from the Institut de Ciències del Mar (ICM-CSIC) used a natural laboratory on the island of Ischia, Italy, to simulate the conditions projected for the end of the century. They analyzed the morphology, skeleton mineralogy, and microbiome of two bryozoan species exposed to these conditions. The findings revealed that the species exhibit some acclimation capacity, modifying their skeletal mineralogy to become more resistant.

However, a loss in functional microbial diversity was observed, with a decline in genera potentially involved in key processes such as nutrition, defense, or resistance to environmental stress. This suggests that even if colonies look externally healthy, changes in the microbiome could serve as early bioindicators of environmental stress.

The study also considered the effects of rising temperatures, another key factor in climate change. The models used indicate that the combination of these two stressors intensifies the effects observed, significantly reducing the coverage of the encrusting bryozoan and increasing mortality.

These findings have important implications for marine conservation. Habitat-forming species like bryozoans are not only vulnerable but their disappearance could trigger cascading effects on many other species that rely on them for shelter or food. The characterization of the microbiome and preliminary identification of potentially beneficial microorganisms open new research avenues to enhance the resilience of holobionts (host and its associated microbiome) through nature-based approaches.

The complexity of this issue demands integrated analyses, highlighting the importance of interdisciplinary approaches in anticipating future scenarios and protecting marine ecosystems.

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Climate

Unraveling Chaotic Ant Wars to Save Coffee: The Complexities of Ecological Systems in Agriculture

In a Puerto Rican coffee farm, researchers uncovered a web of chaotic interactions between three ant species and a predator fly, revealing how shifting dominance patterns make pest management unpredictable. By combining theories of cyclic dominance and predator-mediated coexistence, they showed how ecological forces oscillate and intertwine, creating patterns too complex for simple forecasting. This deep dive into ant behavior underscores both the potential and the challenges of replacing pesticides with ecological methods, as nature’s own “rules” prove to be far from straightforward.

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As we strive to revolutionize agricultural practices without relying on harmful pesticides, researchers from the University of Michigan have made significant strides in understanding the intricacies of ecological systems on farmland. Led by professors John Vandermeer and Ivette Perfecto, their study published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, sheds light on the complex interactions between three ant species and a recently introduced fly that preys upon one of them.

The researchers’ work on a coffee farm in Puerto Rico reveals that the interaction between these four insect species creates chaotic patterns – not just random fluctuations but intricate dynamics influenced by predator-prey relationships. This chaos is in the classical sense, where natural populations are subjected to fluctuations depending on the interactions of organisms within a system. The study’s findings show that any one of the four insect species could be dominant at any point in time.

For three decades, Vandermeer and Perfecto have been studying ant interactions in the coffee farm’s agricultural setting, seeking to help farmers use ants as biological control agents for pests like coffee leaf rust and scale insects. However, their research highlights that understanding which ants may be dominant over time is a challenging task due to the complex dynamics at play.

“We believe that the current international agricultural system with its use of pesticides and chemicals is not contributing to the welfare of anybody, especially farmers, and is actually contributing quite a bit to global climate change,” Vandermeer said. “We take the position that in order to incorporate the rules of ecology into the development of new forms of agriculture, we need to understand what those rules are and how those rules work.”

The researchers examined two types of ecological behavior: intransitive loop cyclic behavior and predator-mediated coexistence. Intransitive loop cyclic behavior means that if there’s a group of three ant species, Ant A might be dominant over Ant B, Ant B might dominate Ant C, but Ant C could dominate Ant A. When a predator is thrown into the mix, these dynamics become even more complicated.

The study’s findings have significant implications for agriculture. By understanding which ants may be dominant at different points in time, farmers can potentially use these ants as biological control agents to manage pests on their farms with fewer pesticides. However, the researchers acknowledge that the complex dynamics involved make it challenging to base agricultural practices solely on ecological principles.

“The good news is that the chaotic patterns of the insects are really very interesting from an inherent intellectual sense,” Vandermeer said. “The bad news is that it’s not really as simple as it might seem to base agricultural practices on ecological principles because the ecological principles themselves are way more complicated than simply finding a poison that kills the pests.”

Vandermeer and Perfecto’s work highlights the importance of understanding ecological systems in agriculture, acknowledging the complexities involved, and taking a holistic approach to developing new forms of agriculture. As researchers continue to unravel the intricacies of these complex interactions, we may find innovative solutions for more sustainable and pesticide-free agricultural practices – ultimately benefiting farmers, ecosystems, and society as a whole.

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