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Earth & Climate

When Tropical Forests Burned, the Planet Caught Fire: Uncovering Earth’s Greatest Extinction Event

When Siberian volcanoes kicked off the Great Dying, the real climate villain turned out to be the rainforests themselves: once they collapsed, Earth’s biggest carbon sponge vanished, CO₂ rocketed, and a five-million-year heatwave followed. Fossils from China and clever climate models now link that botanical wipe-out to runaway warming, hinting that losing today’s tropical forests could lock us in a furnace we can’t easily cool.

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The collapse of tropical forests during Earth’s most catastrophic extinction event was the primary cause of the prolonged global warming that followed, according to new research.

The Permian-Triassic Mass Extinction – sometimes referred to as the “Great Dying,” happened around 252 million years ago, leading to the massive loss of marine species and significant declines in terrestrial plants and animals.

For decades, scientists have been unable to pinpoint why super-greenhouse conditions persisted for around five million years afterwards. Now a team of international researchers has gathered new data that supports the theory that the demise of tropical forests and their slow recovery limited carbon sequestration – a process where carbon dioxide is removed from the atmosphere and held in plants, soils, or minerals.

The researchers used a new type of analysis of fossil records as well as clues about past climate conditions found in certain rock formations to reconstruct maps of changes in plant productivity during the Permian-Triassic Mass Extinction. Their results show that vegetation loss during the event led to greatly reduced levels of carbon sequestration, resulting in a prolonged period with high levels of CO2.

The paper’s lead author, Dr. Zhen Xu from the University of Leeds, said: “The causes of such extreme warming during this event have been long discussed, as the level of warming is far beyond any other event.”

Critically, this is the only high-temperature event in Earth’s history where the tropical forest biosphere collapses, which drove our initial hypothesis. Now, after years of fieldwork, analysis, and simulations, we finally have the data that supports it.

The researchers believe their results reinforce the idea that thresholds or ‘tipping points’ exist in Earth’s climate-carbon system that, when reached, mean that warming can be amplified.

China is home to the most complete geological record of the Permian-Triassic mass Extinction and this work leverages an incredible archive of fossil data gathered over decades by three generations of Chinese geologists. The lead author Dr. Zhen Xu is the youngest of these and is continuing the work begun by Professor Hongfu Yin and Professor Jianxin Yu, who are also authors of the study.

Since 2016, Zhen and her colleagues have traveled throughout China from subtropical forests to deserts, visiting areas accessible only by boat or on horseback. Zhen came to the University of Leeds in 2020 to work with Professor Benjamin Mills on simulating the extinction event and assessing the climate impacts of the loss of tropical vegetation shown by the fossil record.

Their results confirm that the change in carbon sequestration suggested by the fossils is consistent with the amount of warming that occurred afterwards. Professor Mills added: “There is a warning here about the importance of Earth’s present-day tropical forests. If rapid warming causes them to collapse in a similar manner, then we should not expect our climate to cool to preindustrial levels even if we stop emitting CO2.”

Indeed, warming could continue to accelerate in this case even if we reach zero human emissions. We will have fundamentally changed the carbon cycle in a way that can take geological timescales to recover, which has happened in Earth’s past.

Reflecting on the study’s broader mission, Professor Hongfu Yin and Professor Jianxin Yu of the China University of Geosciences underscored the urgency of blending tradition with innovation: “Paleontology needs to embrace new techniques – from numerical modeling to interdisciplinary collaboration – to decode the past and safeguard the future,” explained Professor Yin.

Professor Yu added: “Let’s make sure our work transcends academia: it is a responsibility to all life on Earth, today and beyond. Earth’s story is still being written, and we all have a role in shaping its next chapter.”

Air Quality

Greenland’s Glacial Runoff Fuels Explosive Growth in Ocean Life

NASA-backed simulations reveal that meltwater from Greenland’s Jakobshavn Glacier lifts deep-ocean nutrients to the surface, sparking large summer blooms of phytoplankton that feed the Arctic food web.

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Greenland’s glacial runoff is fueling an explosion in ocean life, according to a recent study supported by NASA. As the ice sheet melts, it releases massive amounts of freshwater into the sea, which then interacts with the surrounding saltwater and nutrients from the depths.

The researchers used a state-of-the-art computer model called Estimating the Circulation and Climate of the Ocean-Darwin (ECCO-Darwin) to simulate the complex interactions between biology, chemistry, and physics in one pocket along Greenland’s coastline. The study revealed that glacial runoff delivers nutrients like iron and nitrate, essential for phytoplankton growth, to the surface waters.

Phytoplankton are tiny plant-like organisms that form the base of the ocean food web. They take up carbon dioxide and produce oxygen as byproducts of photosynthesis. In Arctic waters, their growth rate has surged 57% between 1998 and 2018 alone. The study found that glacial runoff boosts summertime phytoplankton growth by 15 to 40% in the study area.

Increased phytoplankton blooms can have a positive impact on Greenland’s marine animals and fisheries. However, untangling the impacts of climate change on the ecosystem will take time and further research. The team plans to extend their simulations to the whole Greenland coast and beyond.

The study also highlights the interconnectedness of the ocean ecosystem, with phytoplankton blooms influencing the carbon cycle both positively and negatively. While glacial runoff makes seawater less able to dissolve carbon dioxide, the bigger blooms of phytoplankton take up more carbon dioxide from the air as they photosynthesize, offsetting this loss.

The researchers emphasize that their approach is applicable to any region, making it a powerful tool for studying ocean ecosystems worldwide. As climate change continues to reshape our planet, understanding these complex interactions will be essential for predicting and mitigating its impacts on marine life and ecosystems.

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Atmosphere

NASA’s SWOT Satellite Captures Kamchatka Megaquake Tsunami in Stunning Detail

When a massive 8.8 magnitude earthquake struck off Russia’s Kamchatka Peninsula, NASA and CNES’s SWOT satellite captured a rare and detailed picture of the tsunami that followed. Recorded just over an hour after the quake, the satellite revealed the wave’s height, shape, and path, offering scientists an unprecedented multidimensional view from space.

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The recent megaquake that struck off the coast of Russia’s Kamchatka Peninsula has been captured in striking detail by NASA’s SWOT satellite. Launched jointly with the French space agency CNES, the SWOT satellite is equipped with a unique radar system that can measure ocean topography and water levels across vast areas.

On July 30, at around 11:25 a.m. local time, an 8.8 magnitude earthquake struck off the coast of Kamchatka, generating a massive tsunami wave. The SWOT satellite captured the leading edge of this tsunami just 70 minutes after the quake hit. This remarkable footage has provided scientists with crucial data to improve tsunami forecast models.

The data collected by the SWOT satellite included measurements of the wave height exceeding 1.5 feet (45 centimeters), as well as a detailed look at the shape and direction of travel of the leading edge of the tsunami. These observations have been plotted against a forecast model produced by the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Center for Tsunami Research.

Comparing these observations to the model helps forecasters validate their predictions, ensuring that they can provide accurate early warnings to coastal communities in the event of a tsunami. As Nadya Vinogradova Shiffer, NASA Earth lead and SWOT program scientist at NASA Headquarters, explained, “The power of SWOT’s broad, paintbrush-like strokes over the ocean is in providing crucial real-world validation, unlocking new physics, and marking a leap towards more accurate early warnings and safer futures.”

Ben Hamlington, an oceanographer at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, highlighted the significance of the 1.5-foot-tall wave captured by SWOT, saying that what might seem like a small wave in open waters can become a massive 30-foot wave in shallower coastal areas.

The data collected by the SWOT satellite has already helped scientists improve their tsunami forecast models at NOAA’s Center for Tsunami Research. This is a crucial step towards enhancing operational tsunami forecasts and saving lives. As Josh Willis, a JPL oceanographer, noted, “The satellite observations help researchers to better reverse engineer the cause of a tsunami, and in this case, they also showed us that NOAA’s tsunami forecast was right on the money.”

This breakthrough has significant implications for coastal communities around the world. By providing more accurate early warnings, SWOT data can save lives and reduce damage caused by tsunamis. As Vasily Titov, the center’s chief scientist in Seattle, emphasized, “It suggests SWOT data could significantly enhance operational tsunami forecasts — a capability sought since the 2004 Sumatra event.” The devastating tsunami generated by that quake killed thousands of people and caused widespread destruction in Indonesia.

The SWOT satellite was jointly developed by NASA and CNES, with contributions from the Canadian Space Agency (CSA) and the UK Space Agency. NASA JPL leads the U.S. component of the project, providing a Ka-band radar interferometer instrument, a GPS science receiver, a laser retroreflector, a two-beam microwave radiometer, and NASA instrument operations.

This groundbreaking technology has opened up new possibilities for scientists to better understand ocean dynamics and improve tsunami forecasting models. As SWOT continues to capture stunning images of our oceans, it will undoubtedly play a vital role in enhancing operational tsunami forecasts and saving lives around the world.

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Climate

The Ocean’s Fragile Fortresses: Uncovering the Impact of Climate Change on Bryozoans

Mediterranean bryozoans, including the “false coral,” are showing alarming changes in structure and microbiomes under acidification and warming. Field studies at volcanic CO₂ vents reveal that these stressors combined sharply reduce survival, posing risks to marine ecosystems.

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The Ocean’s Fragile Fortresses: Uncovering the Impact of Climate Change on Bryozoans

Bryozoans, small colonial invertebrates, play a vital role in forming marine habitats. However, their response to environmental changes has long been overlooked. A recent study published in Communications Biology sheds light on how ocean acidification and warming can affect bryozoan colonies, with crucial implications for marine conservation.

The researchers from the Institut de Ciències del Mar (ICM-CSIC) used a natural laboratory on the island of Ischia, Italy, to simulate the conditions projected for the end of the century. They analyzed the morphology, skeleton mineralogy, and microbiome of two bryozoan species exposed to these conditions. The findings revealed that the species exhibit some acclimation capacity, modifying their skeletal mineralogy to become more resistant.

However, a loss in functional microbial diversity was observed, with a decline in genera potentially involved in key processes such as nutrition, defense, or resistance to environmental stress. This suggests that even if colonies look externally healthy, changes in the microbiome could serve as early bioindicators of environmental stress.

The study also considered the effects of rising temperatures, another key factor in climate change. The models used indicate that the combination of these two stressors intensifies the effects observed, significantly reducing the coverage of the encrusting bryozoan and increasing mortality.

These findings have important implications for marine conservation. Habitat-forming species like bryozoans are not only vulnerable but their disappearance could trigger cascading effects on many other species that rely on them for shelter or food. The characterization of the microbiome and preliminary identification of potentially beneficial microorganisms open new research avenues to enhance the resilience of holobionts (host and its associated microbiome) through nature-based approaches.

The complexity of this issue demands integrated analyses, highlighting the importance of interdisciplinary approaches in anticipating future scenarios and protecting marine ecosystems.

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