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Earth & Climate

Uncovering Hidden Earthquakes beneath Yellowstone’s Surface

Beneath Yellowstone’s stunning surface lies a hyperactive seismic world, now better understood thanks to machine learning. Researchers have uncovered over 86,000 earthquakes—10 times more than previously known—revealing chaotic swarms moving along rough, young fault lines. With these new insights, we’re getting closer to decoding Earth’s volcanic heartbeat and improving how we predict and manage volcanic and geothermal hazards.

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The United States’ first national park, Yellowstone, has long been known for its geothermal wonders and unique geological history. However, beneath this picturesque surface lies one of Earth’s most seismically active networks of volcanic activity. A recent study published in Science Advances has shed new light on the hidden earthquakes beneath Yellowstone’s surface.

Western engineering professor Bing Li and his collaborators at Universidad Industrial de Santander and the United States Geological Survey used machine learning to re-examine historical earthquake data from the Yellowstone caldera over a 15-year period. The team was able to retroactively detect and assign magnitudes to approximately 10 times more seismic events than previously recorded.

The study revealed that more than half of the earthquakes in Yellowstone were part of earthquake swarms – groups of small, interconnected earthquakes that spread and shift within a relatively small area over a short period of time. This finding has significant implications for understanding volcanic and seismic systems, improving safety measures, and guiding geothermal energy development away from danger.

The use of machine learning has greatly improved data collection and systematic analyses in this study. Prior to its application, earthquakes were generally detected through manual inspection by trained experts, which was a time-consuming and cost-intensive process that often detected fewer events than possible now with machine learning.

The researchers also found that earthquake swarms beneath the Yellowstone caldera have occurred along relatively immature, rougher fault structures compared to more typical mature fault structures seen in other regions. The roughness of these fault structures was measured by characterizing earthquakes as fractals, which are geometric shapes that exhibit self-similarity.

This study provides a far more robust catalogue of seismic activity under the Yellowstone caldera and can be used to apply statistical methods that help quantify and find new swarms that haven’t been seen before. The insights gained from this research have the potential to improve safety measures and inform the public about potential risks, making it an important step forward in understanding the complex geology of Yellowstone.

Climate

The Hidden Dangers of Clear-Cutting: How a Single Action Can Trigger Catastrophic Floods

Clear-cutting forests doesn’t just raise flood risk — it can supercharge it. UBC researchers found that in certain watersheds, floods became up to 18 times more frequent and over twice as severe after clear-cutting, with these effects lasting more than four decades. The surprise? Terrain details like which direction a slope faces played a huge role in flood behavior. Conventional models miss these dynamics, which could mean we’ve been underestimating the danger for decades — especially as climate change accelerates extreme weather.

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Clear-cutting has long been practiced as a means of forest management, but a new study from the University of British Columbia (UBC) reveals a shocking truth: this seemingly innocuous practice can have catastrophic consequences, including 18 times more frequent floods and effects lasting over 40 years.

The research team analyzed two adjacent watersheds in North Carolina, both clear-cut in the late 1950s. While one watershed showed no significant impact from the treatment, the other experienced four to 18 times more frequent floods, with average flood sizes increasing by 47 percent compared to pre-treatment levels. The biggest floods grew by as much as 105 percent.

This study challenges conventional thinking about forest management’s impact on flooding, according to Dr. Younes Alila, senior author and hydrologist in the UBC faculty of forestry. “We hope the industry and policymakers will take note of the findings, which show that it matters not only how much forest you remove but also where, how, and under what conditions.”

The researchers found that seemingly minor landscape factors, such as the direction a slope faces, can make or break a watershed’s response to treatment. This experimental evidence validates the need for better analysis methods, Dr. Alila added.

Most conventional flood models rely on simplified assumptions, cutting X percent of trees and expecting Y percent more water runoff. However, this study demonstrates that such models fail to account for extreme and erratic flood patterns that emerge after landscape disturbances.

The most concerning finding was that flood effects in the north-facing watershed persisted for over 40 years, confirming that forestry treatments can lead to long-term changes in a watershed’s flood response, especially as climate change brings more extreme weather.

The findings have immediate relevance for forest management practices, particularly in B.C. where there are similar terrain types and forestry operations in the form of clear-cut logging. The model used in this study can be used to predict which parts of B.C. are currently more at risk of extreme flooding and investigate how much of the severity of recent floods can be attributed to global warming and/or land use and forest cover changes.

“Our findings highlight how multiple landscape factors interact in complex ways,” Dr. Alila noted. “As climate conditions shift, understanding those dynamics is becoming increasingly important for forest and water management.”

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Dogs

“Dogs as Conservation Detectives: Unleashing the Power of Citizen Scientists in Fighting Invasive Species”

Dogs trained by everyday pet owners are proving to be surprisingly powerful allies in the fight against the invasive spotted lanternfly. In a groundbreaking study, citizen scientists taught their dogs to sniff out the pests’ hard-to-spot egg masses with impressive accuracy. The initiative not only taps into the huge community of recreational scent-detection dog enthusiasts, but also opens a promising new front in protecting agriculture. And it doesn’t stop there—these canine teams are now sniffing out vineyard diseases too, hinting at a whole new future of four-legged fieldwork.

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The article has been rewritten for clarity and structure while maintaining the core ideas. Here is the rewritten content:

Dogs have long been our loyal companions, but now they’re also being trained as conservation detectives to sniff out invasive species that threaten America’s agriculture and forests. A new study led by Virginia Tech found that volunteer dog-handler teams can effectively detect the elusive egg masses of the spotted lanternfly, an invasive insect damaging farms and forests across the eastern and central United States.

The researchers asked a simple yet profound question: “What if we tapped into the tens of thousands of dog owners already doing scent detection as a hobby around the country?” They recruited over 1,000 dog owners, with more than 40 percent having prior experience in sport scent detection or related activities. Ultimately, 182 teams from across the U.S. were selected and given devitalized egg masses as training aids.

The results? Dogs correctly identified the egg masses 82 percent of the time in controlled tests. In real-world field trials, accuracy dropped to 61 percent – still better than many human searches. Of the dogs that passed both tests, 92 percent were successful in finding live egg masses with minimal extra training.

This study highlights the untapped power of community science, where thousands of people out there doing scent work with their dogs just for fun can be a valuable resource for fighting the spread of an invasive pest. The findings show that trained pet dogs can also detect powdery mildew, a major fungal disease of grapes and vineyards, with over 90 percent accuracy.

For Sally Dickinson, lead author of the study, this research is about empowering people to work alongside their dogs to protect the places and communities they care about. It’s about giving more dogs and their humans a chance to do meaningful work – a mission that reflects her personal experience as a firefighter and career search-and-rescue canine handler.

As the project reflects, it’s time to unleash the power of citizen scientists in fighting invasive species. With the help of our loyal companions, we can safeguard agriculture and protect the environment for future generations.

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Earth & Climate

“Wildfires Don’t Scare Them Off: Jaguars Thrive in Refuges After Brazil’s Blazes”

After devastating wildfires scorched the Brazilian Pantanal, an unexpected phenomenon unfolded—more jaguars began arriving at a remote wetland already known for having the densest jaguar population on Earth. Scientists discovered that not only did the local jaguars survive, but their numbers swelled as migrants sought refuge. This unique ecosystem, where jaguars feast mainly on fish and caimans and tolerate each other’s presence unusually well, proved remarkably resilient. Researchers found that this floodplain may serve as a natural climate sanctuary, highlighting its crucial role in a changing world.

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As Brazil’s Pantanal wetlands faced devastating wildfires in 2020, it seemed like a catastrophe for its unique wildlife. However, a recent study published in Global Change Biology reveals that the fires actually led to an increase in jaguar population density in the area, making it a potential climate refuge. The research team from Oregon State University and their Brazilian partners have been studying the jaguars since 2014, using camera traps and scat analysis to understand their behavior and habitat.

The study site, covering over 36,700 acres, is a protected area that experiences seasonal flooding. It’s home to a distinct population of jaguars that primarily feed on aquatic organisms rather than land-based animals. These big cats are also surprisingly socially tolerant, often sharing space with other jaguars. The researchers found that the 2020 wildfires and extreme drought drove an estimated loss of 17 million vertebrates across the Pantanal.

The study, led by Charlotte Eriksson, a postdoctoral scholar at Oregon State University, analyzed video footage from camera traps deployed before, during, and after the fires. They also collected nearly 175 jaguar scats to determine their diet. The findings suggest that the area may serve as a climate refuge, buffering the effects of extreme climate events.

Eriksson emphasized the importance of maintaining such refugia and implementing proactive fire management to protect these unique ecosystems. “Finding even more jaguars and other mammals in the study area following the 2020 wildfire and extreme drought suggests that it may serve as a climate refuge, buffering the effects of extreme climate events,” Eriksson said.

The researchers caution against generalizing their findings to other areas due to the site’s unique characteristics, including its protected status. However, they highlight the significance of preserving refugia like this one, which can provide crucial habitat for species struggling with the impacts of climate change.

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