Connect with us
We’re experimenting with AI-generated content to help deliver information faster and more efficiently.
While we try to keep things accurate, this content is part of an ongoing experiment and may not always be reliable.
Please double-check important details — we’re not responsible for how the information is used.

Asteroids, Comets and Meteors

Asteroid Impact Threat Estimates Improved for Earth and the Moon

An international team is currently closely tracking the near-Earth asteroid 2024 YR4. The impact probability estimates for the year 2032 has been reduced from a peak of 3 percent to below 0.001 percent.

Avatar photo

Published

on

The threat posed by near-Earth asteroids has long been a concern for scientists and policymakers. Recently, an international team of researchers has been closely tracking the asteroid 2024 YR4, which initially sparked a first-ever notification from the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN) on January 29th, 2025. The early calculations predicted an impact probability of 1.3% with Earth on December 22nd, 2032, and estimated its size between 40 and 90 meters.

However, the team’s observations using the Nordic Optical Telescope in La Palma, Canary Islands, revealed a significant drop in the impact probability to below 0.001%. This reduction was achieved through precise measurements of the asteroid’s position and motion, as well as analysis of its rotation, size, and shape. The team’s findings were published in a recent article.

While the threat to Earth has decreased significantly, the researchers have identified a new risk: there is currently a 4% chance of the asteroid impacting the Moon instead. This possibility could lead to particles being detached from the Moon and the asteroid, potentially threatening human space infrastructure and operations.

The James Webb Space Telescope played a crucial role in refining the size estimate of the asteroid, providing direct indicators of its diameter through thermal emission measurements at infrared wavelengths. The team’s analysis resulted in an estimate that there is a 95% chance the diameter is between 46 and 74 meters.

Despite the reduced risk, Earth-based and space-based observatories will continue tracking YR4 until it becomes unobservable from Earth in April or May 2025. The success of this project highlights the importance of persistent work and collaboration among researchers, policymakers, and engineers to mitigate the risks posed by near-Earth objects.

The University of Helsinki has been at the forefront of asteroid research, combining astronomical observations with laboratory measurements, theoretical, and numerical research. This expertise is critical for assessing potential impact risks caused by near-Earth objects and will be a valuable asset in the newly established Space Situational Awareness Center.

Asteroids, Comets and Meteors

Unveiling a Hidden World: Astronomers Discover Distant Object at Solar System’s Edge

Astronomers have uncovered a massive new trans-Neptunian object, 2017 OF201, lurking at the edge of our solar system. With an orbit stretching 25,000 years and a size that may qualify it as a dwarf planet, this mysterious world challenges long-held assumptions about the “empty” space beyond Neptune. Its unusual trajectory sets it apart from other distant bodies and may even cast doubt on the controversial Planet Nine hypothesis.

Avatar photo

Published

on

As we venture further into the uncharted territories of our solar system, scientists have made a groundbreaking discovery that sheds new light on the mysteries of the outer reaches. A small team led by Sihao Cheng has uncovered an extraordinary trans-Neptunian object (TNO), dubbed 2017 OF201, at the edge of our celestial neighborhood.

This remarkable find is significant not only because it suggests that the Kuiper Belt, a region previously thought to be empty, may harbor more hidden worlds, but also because it challenges our understanding of the solar system’s architecture. The object’s extreme orbit and large size make it comparable to Pluto, a dwarf planet that has captivated astronomers for decades.

The discovery team used advanced computational methods to identify 2017 OF201’s distinctive trajectory pattern on the sky, pinpointing bright spots in an astronomical image database from the Victor M. Blanco Telescope and Canada France Hawaii Telescope (CFHT). The new TNO is estimated to be around 700 km in diameter, making it the second-largest known object in its wide orbit.

Further observations are needed to determine the exact size of 2017 OF201, but this groundbreaking find has significant implications for our understanding of the outer solar system. As Cheng notes, “The presence of this single object suggests that there could be another hundred or so other objects with similar orbit and size; they are just too far away to be detectable now.”

This detection also highlights the power of open science, as the data used to identify and characterize 2017 OF201 are archival and available to anyone, not only professional astronomers. This approach underscores the value of sharing scientific resources and demonstrates that groundbreaking discoveries can be made by researchers, students, or even citizen scientists with the right tools and knowledge.

As we continue to explore the vast expanse of our solar system, discoveries like 2017 OF201 remind us that there is still much to uncover about the celestial world that surrounds us. The detection of this hidden world at the edge of our solar system serves as a poignant reminder of the awe-inspiring mysteries that await us in the uncharted territories of space.

Continue Reading

Asteroids, Comets and Meteors

Unveiling Ancient Secrets on Mars: A Breakthrough Technique Reveals Hidden Clues

A curious red Martian rock nicknamed Sapphire Canyon has scientists excited, as its spotted appearance hints at possible organic origins. On Earth, researchers tested a powerful laser technique, O-PTIR, on a similar rock found by chance in Arizona, proving it can rapidly and precisely reveal a material’s chemical makeup. This high-resolution method could play a key role in analyzing Mars samples once they arrive, adding to its growing track record in NASA missions like Europa Clipper.

Avatar photo

Published

on

The discovery of an unusual rock sample, named Sapphire Canyon, by NASA’s Mars rover Perseverance in 2024 has sent shockwaves of excitement through the scientific community. This enigmatic rock features striking white spots with black borders within a red mudstone, sparking hopes that it might hold clues about the presence of organic molecules on Mars.

To unlock the secrets hidden within Sapphire Canyon, researchers from the Jet Propulsion Laboratory and the California Institute of Technology employed an innovative technique called optical photothermal infrared spectroscopy (O-PTIR). This method uses two lasers to study a material’s chemical properties, creating its unique fingerprint by measuring thermal vibrations on its surface.

The team, led by Nicholas Heinz, put O-PTIR to the test on a basalt rock with dark inclusions of similar size to Sapphire Canyon’s. By chance, Heinz stumbled upon this visually similar rock while hiking in Arizona’s Sedona region. The results were astounding – O-PTIR proved to be an extremely effective tool for differentiating between the primary material and its dark inclusions.

One of the key advantages of O-PTIR is its enhanced spatial resolution, allowing scientists to pinpoint specific regions of interest within a sample. Additionally, this technique is remarkably rapid, with each spectrum collection taking mere minutes. This enables researchers to apply more sensitive techniques to study areas containing potential organics in greater detail.

Heinz expressed his hope that the capabilities of O-PTIR will be considered for future Martian samples, as well as those from asteroids and other planetary surfaces. The team’s expertise is currently the only one available at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, having previously assisted with confirming the cleanliness of the Europa Clipper mission prior to its launch.

As the scientific community continues to unravel the mysteries hidden within Sapphire Canyon, Heinz and his team are working closely with NASA’s Mars science team to test O-PTIR on algal microfossils typically used as Mars analogs for the rovers. This breakthrough technique is poised to revolutionize our understanding of Martian geology and potentially uncover signs of ancient life on the Red Planet.

Continue Reading

Asteroids, Comets and Meteors

The Elusive Planet Next Door Continues to Baffle Astronomers

NASA’s James Webb Space Telescope has detected strong evidence for a giant planet orbiting Alpha Centauri A, the nearest Sun-like star to Earth. Located just 4 light-years away, this possible Saturn-mass world may travel between one and two times the distance from its star that Earth does from the Sun. The planet appears to lie in the habitable zone, though its gas giant nature makes it unlikely to host life.

Avatar photo

Published

on

The search for exoplanets has been a thrilling adventure in recent years, with scientists using various methods to detect worlds beyond our solar system. One such method involves observing the light emitted by stars, which can be affected by the presence of planets. In the case of the Alpha Centauri star system, located just 4 light-years away from Earth, astronomers have been trying to confirm the existence of a giant planet orbiting one of its three stars.

Using the Mid-Infrared Instrument (MIRI) on NASA’s James Webb Space Telescope, researchers have found strong evidence of a possible gas giant planet orbiting Alpha Centauri A. The observations were made in August 2024 and February 2025, using the coronagraphic mask aboard MIRI to block the light from Alpha Centauri A. While the initial detection was exciting, additional observations in April 2025 did not reveal any objects like the one identified in August 2024.

To investigate this mystery, researchers used computer models to simulate millions of potential orbits, incorporating the knowledge gained when they saw the planet and when they did not. These simulations suggested that the planet could be a gas giant approximately the mass of Saturn, orbiting Alpha Centauri A in an elliptical path varying between one to two times the distance between the Sun and Earth.

While the existence of this planet is still uncertain, it would mark a new milestone for exoplanet imaging efforts if confirmed. The potential planet seen in the Webb image of Alpha Centauri A would be the closest to its star seen so far, and its very existence in a system of two closely separated stars would challenge our understanding of how planets form, survive, and evolve in chaotic environments.

The James Webb Space Telescope is the world’s premier space science observatory, and its MIRI instrument was developed through a 50-50 partnership between NASA and ESA. The telescope is solving mysteries in our solar system, looking beyond to distant worlds around other stars, and probing the mysterious structures and origins of our universe and our place in it.

If confirmed by additional observations, the team’s results could transform the future of exoplanet science. This would become a touchstone object for exoplanet science, with multiple opportunities for detailed characterization by Webb and other observatories. NASA’s Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope, set to launch by May 2027, is equipped with dedicated hardware that will test new technologies to observe binary systems like Alpha Centauri in search of other worlds.

Continue Reading

Trending