Connect with us
We’re experimenting with AI-generated content to help deliver information faster and more efficiently.
While we try to keep things accurate, this content is part of an ongoing experiment and may not always be reliable.
Please double-check important details — we’re not responsible for how the information is used.

Computer Modeling

The Limits of AI-Powered Weather Prediction

Scientists found that neural networks cannot yet forecast ‘gray swan’ weather events, which might not appear in existing training data but could still happen — like 200-year floods or massive hurricanes.

Avatar photo

Published

on

The article highlights the limitations of using neural networks in weather forecasting, particularly when it comes to predicting freak weather events. While AI models have shown remarkable accuracy for day-to-day weather predictions, they struggle to forecast events beyond the scope of existing training data.

A recent study led by scientists from the University of Chicago found that neural networks cannot predict weather events beyond the scope of existing training data – which might leave out events like 200-year floods, unprecedented heat waves or massive hurricanes. This limitation is particularly important as researchers incorporate neural networks into operational weather forecasting, early warning systems, and long-term risk assessments.

However, the study also showed that by integrating more math and physics into the AI tools, it may be possible to address this problem. Researchers are beginning to use AI for long-term risk assessments, but if an AI cannot predict anything stronger than what it’s seen before, its usefulness would be limited for this critical task.

The solution might lie in merging approaches, such as incorporating mathematical tools and the principles of atmospheric physics into AI-based models. The team is pursuing active learning – where AI helps guide traditional physics-based weather models to create more examples of extreme events, which can then be used to improve the AI’s training.

This research has significant implications for improving our ability to predict and prepare for extreme weather events, such as hurricanes and floods. By better understanding the limitations of AI-powered weather prediction, we can work towards developing more accurate and reliable forecasting systems that can help save lives and protect communities from the impacts of severe weather.

Biochemistry Research

“Unlocking Nature’s Math: Uncovering Gauge Freedoms in Biological Models”

Scientists have developed a unified theory for mathematical parameters known as gauge freedoms. Their new formulas will allow researchers to interpret research results much faster and with greater confidence. The development could prove fundamental for future efforts in agriculture, drug discovery, and beyond.

Avatar photo

Published

on

In the intricate language of mathematics, there lies a fascinating phenomenon known as gauge freedoms. This seemingly abstract concept may seem far removed from our everyday lives, but its impact is felt deeply in the realm of biological sciences. Researchers at Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory (CSHL) have made groundbreaking strides in understanding and harnessing this power.

Gauge freedoms are essentially the mathematical equivalent of having multiple ways to describe a single truth. In science, when modeling complex systems like DNA or protein sequences, different parameters can result in identical predictions. This phenomenon is crucial in fields like electromagnetism and quantum mechanics. However, until now, computational biologists have had to employ various ad hoc methods to account for gauge freedoms, rather than tackling them directly.

CSHL’s Associate Professor Justin Kinney, along with colleague David McCandlish, led a team that aimed to change this. They developed a unified theory for handling gauge freedoms in biological models. This breakthrough could revolutionize applications across multiple fields, from plant breeding to drug development.

Gauge freedoms are ubiquitous in computational biology, says Prof. Kinney. “Historically, they’ve been dealt with as annoying technicalities.” However, through their research, the team has shown that understanding and systematically addressing these freedoms can lead to more accurate and faster analysis of complex genetic datasets.

Their new mathematical theory provides efficient formulas for a wide range of biological applications. These formulas will empower scientists to interpret research results with greater confidence and speed. Furthermore, the researchers have published a companion paper revealing where gauge freedoms originate – in symmetries present within real biological sequences.

As Prof. McCandlish notes, “We prove that gauge freedoms are necessary to interpret the contributions of particular genetic sequences.” This finding underscores the significance of understanding gauge freedoms not just as a theoretical concept but also as a fundamental requirement for advancing future research in agriculture, drug discovery, and beyond.

This rewritten article aims to clarify complex scientific concepts for a broader audience while maintaining the original message’s integrity.

Continue Reading

Breast Cancer

‘Fast-fail’ AI Blood Test Revolutionizes Pancreatic Cancer Treatment Monitoring

An artificial intelligence technique for detecting DNA fragments shed by tumors and circulating in a patient’s blood could help clinicians more quickly identify and determine if pancreatic cancer therapies are working.

Avatar photo

Published

on

The Johns Hopkins Kimmel Cancer Center has made groundbreaking advancements in developing an artificial intelligence (AI) technique for detecting DNA fragments shed by tumors and circulating in a patient’s blood, potentially leading to better treatment outcomes for patients with pancreatic cancer. The innovative method, called ARTEMIS-DELFI, can identify therapeutic responses and was found to be more accurate than existing clinical and molecular markers.

The study, published in Science Advances, involved testing the ARTEMIS-DELFI approach in blood samples from two large clinical trials of pancreatic cancer treatments. Researchers discovered that this AI-driven technique could predict patient outcomes better than imaging or other current methods just two months after treatment initiation. The team found that the simpler and potentially more broadly applicable ARTEMIS-DELFI was a superior test compared to another method, called WGMAF.

Victor E. Velculescu, M.D., Ph.D., senior study author and co-director of the cancer genetics and epigenetics program at the cancer center, emphasized that time is crucial when treating patients with pancreatic cancer. Many patients receive diagnoses at a late stage, when cancer may progress rapidly. The team wants to know as quickly as possible whether a therapy is working or not, enabling them to switch to another treatment if it’s not effective.

Currently, clinicians use imaging tools like CT scans and MRIs to monitor cancer treatment response and tumor progression. However, these methods can produce results that are less accurate for patients receiving immunotherapies. In the study, Velculescu and his colleagues tested two alternate approaches to monitoring treatment response in patients participating in the phase 2 CheckPAC trial of immunotherapy for pancreatic cancer.

One approach analyzed DNA from tumor biopsies as well as cell-free DNA in blood samples to detect a treatment response, called WGMAF. The other used machine learning to scan millions of cell-free DNA fragments only in the patient’s blood samples, resulting in the ARTEMIS-DELFI method. Both approaches were able to detect which patients were benefiting from the therapies.

However, not all patients had tumor samples, and many patients’ tumor samples contained a small fraction of cancer cells compared to normal pancreatic and other cells, confounding the WGMAF test. The team validated that ARTEMIS-DELFI was an effective treatment response monitoring tool in a second clinical trial called the PACTO trial.

The study confirmed that ARTEMIS-DELFI can identify therapeutic responses in patients with pancreatic cancer just two months after treatment initiation, providing valuable insights for clinicians to make informed decisions. The team hopes that this innovative AI-driven technique will revolutionize the way we monitor and treat pancreatic cancer, ultimately improving patient outcomes.

Continue Reading

Computer Modeling

“Revolutionizing Disaster Preparedness: The Power of Aurora, a Groundbreaking AI Model”

From deadly floods in Europe to intensifying tropical cyclones around the world, the climate crisis has made timely and precise forecasting more essential than ever. Yet traditional forecasting methods rely on highly complex numerical models developed over decades, requiring powerful supercomputers and large teams of experts. According to its developers, Aurora offers a powerful and efficient alternative using artificial intelligence.

Avatar photo

Published

on

The world is facing increasingly intense and frequent climate-related disasters. In response to this growing threat, researchers have developed a groundbreaking AI model called Aurora. This innovative tool has been trained on over a million hours of data and can deliver faster, more accurate, and more affordable forecasts for air quality, ocean waves, and extreme weather events.

Aurora uses state-of-the-art machine learning techniques to provide superior forecasts for key environmental systems. Unlike traditional methods that rely on complex numerical models developed over decades, requiring powerful supercomputers and large teams of experts, Aurora is a powerful and efficient alternative. It can deliver high-quality forecasting with far less computational power, making it more accessible and scalable – especially in regions that lack expensive infrastructure.

The researchers behind Aurora are optimistic about its potential to transform the way we prepare for natural disasters and respond to climate change. They believe that this model can help make advanced forecasting more accessible, particularly for countries in the Global South, smaller weather services, and research groups focused on localized climate risks.

Aurora is available freely online for anyone to use. If someone wants to fine-tune it for a specific task, they will need to provide data for that task. However, the initial training has already been done, and all the information from the vast datasets is baked into Aurora already.

The potential applications of Aurora are vast and include forecasting flood risks, wildfire spread, seasonal weather trends, agricultural yields, and renewable energy output. Its ability to process diverse data types makes it a powerful and future-ready tool for addressing various climate-related challenges.

As the world faces more extreme weather events, innovative models like Aurora could shift the global approach from reactive crisis response to proactive climate resilience. The development of such tools has the potential to revolutionize disaster preparedness and help us better cope with the impacts of climate change.

Continue Reading

Trending