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Behavioral Science

Predicting Virus Reservoirs: A Machine Learning Model for Pandemic Prevention

A new artificial intelligence tool could aid in limiting or even prevent pandemics by identifying animal species that may harbor and spread viruses capable of infecting humans. The machine learning model analyzes host characteristics and virus genetics to identify potential animal reservoirs and geographic areas where new outbreaks are more likely to occur.

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Predicting Virus Reservoirs: A Machine Learning Model for Pandemic Prevention

A team of researchers from Washington State University has developed an innovative machine learning model that can aid in preventing pandemics by identifying animal species that may harbor and spread viruses capable of infecting humans. The model analyzes host characteristics and virus genetics to pinpoint potential reservoirs and geographic areas where new outbreaks are more likely to occur.

The researchers, led by experts Stephanie Seifert, Katie Tseng, and Pilar Fernandez, recently published their findings in the journal Communications Biology. Their study focused on orthopoxviruses – a family of viruses that includes smallpox and mpox – and identified Southeast Asia, equatorial Africa, and the Amazon as potential hotspots for outbreaks.

The model’s predictive accuracy was higher than previous models, which relied solely on ecological traits of animals, such as habitat and diet. The researchers added a crucial aspect to their model by incorporating the genetic makeup of viruses, providing a more comprehensive understanding of how they spread across species.

“We wanted to add the other side of the story, the characteristics of the viruses,” Fernandez said. “Our model improves the accuracy of host predictions and provides a clearer picture of how viruses may spread across species.”

The model’s findings have significant implications for disease prevention and control. By identifying potential reservoirs, scientists can anticipate emerging zoonotic threats and take proactive measures to prevent pandemics.

“This is a game-changer in our fight against infectious diseases,” said Seifert. “If we can better predict which species pose the greatest risk, we can take targeted actions to prevent outbreaks.”

The researchers believe their model can be adapted for other viruses, making it a valuable tool in disease prevention efforts worldwide. As Tseng noted, “While we used the model specifically for orthopoxviruses, we can also go in a lot of different directions and start fine-tuning this model for other viruses.”

Behavioral Science

The Amazing Ant Strategy That Can Revolutionize Robotics

Weaver ants have cracked a teamwork puzzle that humans have struggled with for over a century — instead of slacking off as their group grows, they work harder. These tiny architects not only build elaborate leaf nests but also double their pulling power when more ants join in. Using a “force ratchet” system where some pull while others anchor, they outperform the efficiency of human teams and could inspire revolutionary advances in robotics cooperation.

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The surprising strategy employed by weaver ants has left scientists stunned, as their unique approach to teamwork could potentially transform the field of robotics. A recent study published in Current Biology reveals that individual weaver ants actually increase their contribution to tasks when working in larger groups, defying the long-standing problem of declining performance with team size.

This phenomenon was first observed by French engineer Max Ringelmann in 1913, who found that human teams’ total force increased as more people joined in, but each individual’s contribution decreased. In contrast, weaver ants (Oecophylla smaragdina) have evolved to form super-efficient teams where individuals actually get better at working together as the group gets bigger.

Lead author Madelyne Stewardson from Macquarie University explains that each individual ant almost doubles their pulling force as team size increases. The researchers set up experiments enticing weaver ant colonies to form pulling chains to move an artificial leaf connected to a force meter. They found that the ants split their work into two jobs: some actively pull while others act like anchors to store the pulling force.

The key to this mechanism lies in the “force ratchet” theory developed by co-lead author Dr Daniele Carlesso from the University of Konstanz. Ants at the back of chains stretch out their bodies to resist and store the pulling force, while ants at the front keep actively pulling. This method allows longer chains of ants to have more grip on the ground, better resisting the force of the leaf pulling back.

The discovery has significant implications for robotics, as current robots only output the same force when working in teams as when alone. Dr Chris Reid from Macquarie’s School of Natural Sciences says that programming robots to adopt ant-inspired cooperative strategies could allow teams of autonomous robots to work together more efficiently.

This rewritten article maintains the core ideas but improves clarity, structure, and style, making it understandable to a general audience. The added prompt for image generation provides a visual representation of the weaver ant colony working together.

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Alternative Medicine

Ivermectin: The Mosquito-Killing Pill That Dropped Malaria by 26%

A groundbreaking study has revealed that the mass administration of ivermectin—a drug once known for treating river blindness and scabies—can significantly reduce malaria transmission when used in conjunction with bed nets.

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Ivermectin, a drug traditionally used to treat neglected tropical diseases like onchocerciasis and lymphatic filariasis, has been shown to significantly reduce malaria transmission by killing the mosquitoes that feed on treated individuals. Given the rising resistance to conventional insecticides, ivermectin could offer an effective new approach to tackle malaria transmission, especially in regions where traditional methods have become less effective.

The Unitaid-funded BOHEMIA project, which conducted two Mass Drug Administration (MDA) trials in high-burden malaria regions – Kwale County (Kenya) and Mopeia district (Mozambique) – assessed the safety and efficacy of a single monthly dose of ivermectin (400 mcg/kg) given for three consecutive months at the start of the rainy season in reducing malaria transmission. In Kenya, the intervention targeted children aged 5-15, while in Mozambique it focused on children under five.

The results showed a 26% reduction in new malaria infection incidence among children who received ivermectin compared to those who received albendazole, the control drug used in the study. The trial involved over 20,000 participants and more than 56,000 treatments, demonstrating that ivermectin significantly reduced malaria infection rates — particularly among children living further from cluster borders or in areas where drug distribution was more efficient.

The safety profile of ivermectin was favorable, with no severe drug-related adverse events and only mild, transient side effects already seen with ivermectin in campaigns against neglected tropical diseases.

“We are thrilled with these results,” says Carlos Chaccour, co-principal investigator of the BOHEMIA project and ISGlobal researcher at the time of the study. “Ivermectin has shown great promise in reducing malaria transmission and could complement existing control measures. With continued research, ivermectin MDA could become an effective tool for malaria control and even contribute to elimination efforts,” Chaccour adds.

These results align with the World Health Organization’s (WHO) criteria for new vector control tools. The findings suggest that ivermectin MDA could be a valuable complementary strategy for malaria control, particularly in areas where mosquito resistance to insecticides is a growing concern.

Lessons from the Mozambique trial also highlighted the importance of strong community engagement and close collaboration with local authorities in ensuring acceptance of the ivermectin MDA. The study found an important reduction in the prevalence of skin infestations such as scabies and head lice in the ivermectin group in Mozambique, and the community reported a major reduction in bed bugs in Kenya.

In addition to reducing malaria transmission, ivermectin MDA offers significant collateral benefits. The BOHEMIA team found an important reduction in the prevalence of skin infestations such as scabies and head lice in the ivermectin group in Mozambique, and the community reported a major reduction in bed bugs in Kenya.

“This research has the potential to shape the future of malaria prevention, particularly in endemic areas where existing tools are failing,” concludes Regina Rabinovich, BOHEMIA PI and Director of ISGlobal’s Malaria Elimination Initiative. “With its novel mechanism of action and proven safety profile, ivermectin could offer a new approach using a well-known, safe drug that can add to the effect of other mosquito control tools available today.”

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Animals

“From Millipede Secretions to Human Pain Relief — A New Path for Drug Discovery”

Millipedes, often dismissed as creepy crawlies, may hold the secret to future painkillers and neurological drugs. Researchers at Virginia Tech discovered unique alkaloid compounds in the defensive secretions of a native millipede species. These complex molecules, which cause disorientation in ants, interact with human neuroreceptors linked to pain and cognition. By decoding these natural chemical defenses, scientists could open a new path toward innovative drug therapies, though challenges remain in producing the compounds at scale.

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The discovery of new compounds in millipede secretions has opened up exciting possibilities for drug development and the treatment of neurological diseases. A team led by chemist Emily Mevers has found complex structures in these secretions that can modulate specific neuroreceptors in ant brains, leading to disorientation in the ants.

These newly discovered structures, called alkaloids, fall into a class of naturally occurring compounds that have been studied for their potential pharmacological applications. The Mevers team named them andrognathanols and andrognathines after the millipede species, Andrognathus corticarius, found on Virginia Tech’s Blacksburg campus.

Mevers’ research focuses on leveraging the chemistry of underexplored ecological niches, such as the millipede, for drug discovery. Her team collected millipedes from Stadium Woods and used various analytical tools to identify the compounds contained in their defensive glands. These secretions are released by the millipedes to ward off predators while also sharing their location with their kin.

The broader implications of this research are significant, as much about millipedes remains mysterious, including their specific habitats, numbers, diets, behaviors, and chemistry. Mevers is collaborating with millipede expert Paul Marek in the entomology department to fill in these gaps and explore potential applications for future medications.

In a previous study, Mevers and Marek examined a millipede native to the Pacific Northwest and discovered that related alkaloids interacted potently and selectively with the Sigma-1 neuroreceptor. This interaction suggested that this family of compounds may have useful pharmacological potential for treating pain and other neurological disorders.

The new alkaloids discovered in this study are actively secreted from the Hokie millipede when it is physically disturbed, causing disorientation in ants, a presumed natural predator. A subset of these compounds possesses similar interactions with the Sigma-1 neuroreceptor, further supporting their potential for drug development.

With these complex compounds in hand, the next step is to synthesize them in larger quantities and evaluate their biomedical applications. According to Mevers, “These compounds are quite complex, so they’re going to take some time to synthesize in the lab.” Once larger quantities are available, Mevers will be able to better study their properties and potential in drug development, potentially leading to new treatments for human pain relief.

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