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Climate

Climate-Driven Wildfires Wreaking Havoc on US Health and Economy

Scientists say human-caused climate change led to 15,000 additional early deaths from wildfire air pollution in the continental United States during the 15-year period ending in 2020.

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Climate change is having a devastating impact on the United States, particularly when it comes to wildfires. A recent study published in Nature Communications Earth & Environment has found that human-caused climate change led to an additional 15,000 deaths from wildfire air pollution in the continental US during the 15-year period ending in 2020.

The study, led by Oregon State University researcher Bev Law, is the first to quantify the number of people dying due to a warming climate causing fires to release increasing amounts of fine particulate matter into the air. This phenomenon, known as PM2.5, can be inhaled deeply into the lungs and even enter the bloodstream, posing serious health risks.

The researchers estimate that during the study period, a total of 164,000 deaths resulted from wildfire PM2.5, with 15,000 of those attributed to climate change. This means that absent climate change, the total would have been 149,000. The average annual death rate from wildfire PM2.5 during this period was 5.14 per 100,000 people, roughly double the US death rate from tropical cyclones like hurricanes.

The economic burden associated with these extra deaths is staggering, estimated at $160 billion. This figure takes into account productivity losses, healthcare costs, and a concept known as value of statistical life, which assigns a monetary value to reduction in mortality risk.

California, Oregon, and Washington bore the greatest economic burden from climate-driven wildfire PM2.5, according to the study. “Without efforts to address climate change,” Law noted, “wildfires and associated fine particulate matter will continue to increase.” The researchers project that by midcentury, relative to the decade ending in 2020, mortality from smoke will rise by at least 50%, with resulting annual damages of $244 billion.

The study highlights the urgent need for action to address climate change and mitigate its impacts on human health. As Law emphasized, exposure to PM2.5 is a known cause of cardiovascular disease and is linked to the onset and worsening of respiratory illness. The ongoing trends of increasing wildfire severity track with climate projections, underscoring how climate change manifestations like earlier snowmelt, intensified heat waves, and drier air have already expanded forest fire extent and accelerated daily fire growth rates.

The research was conducted by an interdisciplinary team from Oregon State University, the University of California, Merced, the US Environmental Protection Agency, the Woodwell Climate Research Center, and Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center of Harvard Medical School. Their findings serve as a stark reminder of the need for collective action to address the climate crisis and protect public health.

Atmosphere

Uncovering the Hidden Link: NASA Discovers Connection Between Earth’s Core and Life-Sustaining Oxygen

For over half a billion years, Earth’s magnetic field has risen and fallen in sync with oxygen levels in the atmosphere, and scientists are finally uncovering why. A NASA-led study reveals a striking link between deep-Earth processes and life at the surface, suggesting that the planet’s churning molten interior could be subtly shaping the conditions for life. By comparing ancient magnetic records with atmospheric data, researchers found that these two seemingly unrelated phenomena have danced together since the Cambrian explosion, when complex life first bloomed. This tantalizing connection hints at a single, hidden mechanism — perhaps even continental drift — orchestrating both magnetic strength and the air we breathe.

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The study published in Science Advances by NASA scientists has revealed a significant correlation between the strength of the Earth’s magnetic field and fluctuations in atmospheric oxygen levels over the past 540 million years. This groundbreaking research suggests that processes deep within the Earth’s core might be influencing habitability on the planet’s surface.

At the heart of this phenomenon lies the Earth’s magnetic field, which is generated by the flow of molten material in the planet’s interior. Like a giant electromagnet, this process creates a dynamic field that has been fluctuating over time. The authors of the study point out that the role of magnetic fields in preserving the atmosphere is still an area of active research.

To uncover the hidden link between the Earth’s core and life-sustaining oxygen, scientists have analyzed magnetized minerals that record the history of the magnetic field. These minerals, formed when hot materials rise with magma at gaps between tectonic plates, retain a record of the surrounding magnetic field as long as they are not reheated too severely. By studying these ancient rocks and minerals, researchers can deduce historic oxygen levels based on their chemical contents.

The databases compiled by geophysicists and geochemists have provided valuable information on both the Earth’s magnetic field and oxygen levels over comparable ranges. Until now, no scientists had made a detailed comparison of the records. The findings of this study suggest that the two datasets are remarkably similar, with the planetary magnetic field following similar rising and falling patterns as oxygen in the atmosphere for nearly half a billion years.

The implications of this discovery are profound, suggesting that complex life on Earth might be connected to the interior processes of the planet. Coauthor Weijia Kuang said, “Earth is the only known planet that supports complex life. The correlations we’ve found could help us understand how life evolves and how it’s connected to the interior processes of the planet.”

Further research aims to examine longer datasets to see if the correlation extends farther back in time. The study also plans to investigate the historic abundance of other chemicals essential for life, such as nitrogen. As for the specific causes linking the Earth’s deep interior to life on the surface, scientist Kopparapu said, “There’s more work to be done to figure that out.”

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Climate

A 123,000-Year-Old Warning: Coral Fossils Reveal Rapid Sea-Level Rise Ahead

Ancient coral fossils from the remote Seychelles islands have unveiled a dramatic warning for our future—sea levels can rise in sudden, sharp bursts even when global temperatures stay steady.

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A groundbreaking discovery from fossilized corals in the Indian Ocean’s Seychelles islands is sending shockwaves through the scientific community. The findings suggest that sea levels could rise even more steeply than previously thought, posing a significant threat to coastal communities worldwide.

Researchers led by University of Wisconsin-Madison Professor Andrea Dutton and her team at the University of Florida analyzed fossilized corals from various elevations on the islands. By dating the fossils and examining the sediments around them, they gathered crucial insights into past sea levels. The results, published in Science Advances, confirm that global peak sea levels occurred between 122 and 123,000 years ago – a period known as the Last Interglacial.

During this time, global temperatures were remarkably similar to those of today. However, the researchers discovered three distinct periods of sudden and sharp sea-level rise over the 6,000 years leading up to peak sea levels. These abrupt pulses of sea-level rise were punctuated by periods of falling seas, pointing to times when polar ice sheets in Greenland and Antarctica were changing rapidly.

“This is not good news for us as we head into the future,” says Dutton. “The potential for this very rapid, dynamic change in both ice sheet volume and sea level change is hugely important for coastal planners, policy makers, and those in the business of risk management.”

One of these sharp pulses of sea-level rise occurred at about the same time that the last remnants of a massive ice sheet in North America were likely collapsing. While there’s no large North American ice sheet today, Dutton says this finding has important implications for understanding the dynamics of other present-day ice sheets.

The researchers made another sobering observation: One of the sea-level rises they identified occurred at about the same time that the last remnants of a massive ice sheet in North America were likely collapsing. While there’s no large North American ice sheet today, Dutton says this finding has important implications for understanding the dynamics of other present-day ice sheets.

The study suggests that sea levels could rise up to 10 meters globally, just based on the amount of warming that has already occurred. However, Dutton emphasizes that society can blunt the impact of climate change on sea levels by reducing greenhouse gas emissions and implementing policies to mitigate its effects.

“We could be looking at upward of 10 meters of global average sea-level rise in the future,” she says. “The more we do to draw down our greenhouse gas emissions, and the faster we do so, could prevent the worst scenarios from becoming our lived reality.”

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Air Quality

Flash Floods on the Rise: How Climate Change Supercharges Summer Storms in the Alps

Fierce, fast summer rainstorms are on the rise in the Alps, and a 2 C temperature increase could double their frequency. A new study from researchers at the University of Lausanne and the University of Padova used data from nearly 300 Alpine weather stations to model this unsettling future.

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The European Alps, known for their breathtaking beauty and harsh weather conditions, are expected to become even more treacherous in the years to come. A recent study by scientists at the University of Lausanne (UNIL) and the University of Padova has found that climate change is supercharging summer storms in the region, leading to an increased risk of flash floods.

The researchers analyzed data from nearly 300 weather stations across Switzerland, Germany, Austria, France, and Italy. They discovered that a 2°C rise in regional temperature could double the frequency of short-lived summer rainstorms, making them more intense and destructive.

One such extreme event occurred in June 2018, when the city of Lausanne experienced an intense rainfall episode, with 41 millimeters of precipitation falling in just 10 minutes. The resulting flood caused estimated damage of 32 million Swiss Francs and left a trail of destruction in its wake.

These short-lived events are still rare in Switzerland today but are likely to become more frequent as the climate warms. Warm air retains more moisture, intensifying thunderstorm activity, and the Alpine region is warming faster than the global average. This makes it particularly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change.

The scientists developed a statistical model incorporating physics principles to establish a link between temperature and rainfall frequency. They then used regional climate projections to simulate the future frequency of extreme precipitation events.

Their results show that an increase of just 1°C would already be highly problematic, with sudden and massive arrival of large volumes of water triggering flash floods and debris flows. This can lead to infrastructure damage and casualties, making it essential to understand how these events may evolve with climate change.

“We need to plan appropriate adaptation strategies, such as improving urban drainage infrastructure where necessary,” warns Nadav Peleg, researcher at UNIL and first author of the study.

Francesco Marra, researcher at UNIPD and one of the main authors of the study adds: “An increase of 1°C is not hypothetical; it’s likely to occur in the coming decades. We are already witnessing a tendency for summer storms to intensify, and this trend is only expected to worsen in the years ahead.”

The findings of this study should serve as a wake-up call for policymakers and residents of the Alpine region to take action now and prepare for the increased risk of flash floods brought about by climate change.

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